Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Zacha 49.1% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 89.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 74.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
McLeod
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
McLeod
Zacha
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
2
McLeod
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
7
4
McLeod
Zacha
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
McLeod
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
48.9% (5,102)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
55.6% (804)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
42.2% (555)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zacha
Home
58.2% (1,647)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
McLeod
Zacha
P1
58.7%
49.9%
P2
59.9%
49.2%
P3
56.3%
48.1%
OT
63.6%
53.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |