Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Johansen 52.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 87.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 58.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
McLeod
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
McLeod
Johansen
Last 8: McLeod 3-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
McLeod
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
49.4% (1,010)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
62.3% (236)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
67.2% (67)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McLeod is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (277).
McLeod shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
McLeod
Johansen
Home
55.3% (526)
54.7% (655)
Away
59.2% (529)
50.6% (658)
By Period
McLeod
Johansen
P1
60.7%
52.2%
P2
55.9%
50.7%
P3
55.2%
54.8%
OT
66.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |