Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 64.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 65.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
McLeod
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
McLeod
Johansen
Last 6: McLeod 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
McLeod
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
51.9% (597)
+12.9%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
57.9% (133)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
54.3% (81)
+11.0%
On even strength, McLeod has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McLeod shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
McLeod
Johansen
Home
64.3% (308)
55.8% (387)
Away
65.7% (344)
50.7% (424)
By Period
McLeod
Johansen
P1
62.9%
50.0%
P2
64.8%
56.2%
P3
67.9%
52.6%
OT
37.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |