Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 72.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 78.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 61.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
McLeod
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McLeod
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
McLeod
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
59.8% (625)
+1.7%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
58.2% (196)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
51.9% (27)
+3.7%
On power play, McLeod has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
McLeod shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
McLeod
Johansen
Home
62.0% (460)
60.3% (436)
Away
59.4% (508)
58.0% (412)
By Period
McLeod
Johansen
P1
61.5%
61.3%
P2
63.6%
60.4%
P3
56.2%
56.0%
OT
73.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |