Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
McLeod
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
56.1% (690)
+5.4%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
64.6% (96)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
45.9% (109)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
McLeod
O'Reilly
Home
62.0% (460)
58.3% (408)
Away
59.4% (508)
53.6% (487)
By Period
McLeod
O'Reilly
P1
61.5%
57.7%
P2
63.6%
54.8%
P3
56.2%
55.2%
OT
73.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%