Michael McLeod vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 81.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 61.2%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
McLeod
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McLeod
O'Reilly
Last 7: McLeod 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
McLeod
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
56.2% (15,260)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
58.8% (3,445)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
51.4% (2,811)
+2.1%
On even strength, McLeod has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
McLeod shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
McLeod
O'Reilly
Home
58.2% (1,647)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
McLeod
O'Reilly
P1
58.7%
55.6%
P2
59.9%
57.0%
P3
56.3%
55.1%
OT
63.6%
62.2%
Final 5 min
58.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |