Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Poehling 47.0% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 96.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 84.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
McLeod
Poehling
Last 9: McLeod 7-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
1
McLeod
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
45.1% (437)
+13.2%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
56.4% (39)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
61.5% (13)
-8.5%
On even strength, McLeod has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Poehling is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
55.3% (526)
46.6% (232)
Away
59.2% (529)
46.3% (257)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
60.7%
43.9%
P2
55.9%
49.1%
P3
55.2%
46.4%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |