Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 64.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 76.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 69.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McLeod
Poehling
Last 5: McLeod 3-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
McLeod
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
50.4% (752)
+14.4%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
37.0% (27)
+31.4%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
45.3% (159)
+20.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
McLeod shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
64.3% (308)
51.2% (467)
Away
65.7% (344)
47.1% (471)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
62.9%
54.6%
P2
64.8%
46.7%
P3
67.9%
46.7%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
66.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |