Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Poehling 46.2% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 75.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 59.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 77.3%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
McLeod
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McLeod
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
46.5% (269)
+15.0%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
66.7% (3)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
42.4% (139)
+13.2%
On even strength, McLeod has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
McLeod
Poehling
Home
62.0% (460)
45.2% (177)
Away
59.4% (508)
45.3% (234)
By Period
McLeod
Poehling
P1
61.5%
47.7%
P2
63.6%
44.4%
P3
56.2%
44.6%
OT
73.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |