Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.1%). Look for Rasmussen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Rasmussen 50.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Rasmussen leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 67.5%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 50.8%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 57.9%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Evans
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Evans
Rasmussen
Last 10: Evans 2-8 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
6
Evans
Rasmussen
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
2
Evans
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
50.1% (681)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
63.5% (63)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
38.7% (75)
+4.3%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Rasmussen is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Evans
Rasmussen
Home
52.1% (503)
50.6% (423)
Away
47.0% (423)
49.5% (396)
By Period
Evans
Rasmussen
P1
50.5%
50.4%
P2
47.7%
53.8%
P3
51.3%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |