Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 50.1% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 84.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 93.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.5%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Last 5: Tkachuk 4-1 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
4
0
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (183)
54.0% (955)
-8.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
55.6% (243)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
35.0% (140)
+65.0%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tkachuk is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Tkachuk shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
Home
51.1% (233)
55.2% (656)
Away
49.0% (202)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Tkachuk
Zibanejad
P1
42.9%
56.3%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
53.7%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |