Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 49.0% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 75.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 61.1%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
McTavish
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McTavish
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
McTavish
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (616)
53.4% (770)
-5.8%
Power Play
57.8% (102)
46.2% (39)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.7% (141)
-11.4%
On power play, McTavish has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McTavish shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
McTavish
Zibanejad
Home
52.2% (389)
49.0% (429)
Away
45.1% (335)
54.1% (521)
By Period
McTavish
Zibanejad
P1
50.0%
53.0%
P2
47.9%
51.1%
P3
49.0%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |