Mika Zibanejad vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
44.7% (1,053)
+5.4%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
36.8% (95)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
65.0% (20)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Home
49.0% (681)
49.4% (553)
Away
49.9% (717)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
P1
49.9%
45.3%
P2
47.6%
42.7%
P3
51.1%
45.1%
OT
48.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | OT | 01:34 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |