Mika Zibanejad vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (65% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 68-40 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 59.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 76.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 80.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
40
(108 meetings)
68
40
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
24
14
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
12
9
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
32
17
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
42.8% (502)
-1.3%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Home
51.6% (7,566)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
P1
50.4%
47.4%
P2
49.7%
46.6%
P3
49.8%
46.1%
OT
48.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | OT | 02:57 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |