Mika Zibanejad vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 70.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
2
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
2
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
45.5% (1,190)
+5.4%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
56.4% (94)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
40.0% (30)
-2.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Zibanejad shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
Home
51.1% (536)
47.8% (670)
Away
47.6% (576)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Zibanejad
MacKinnon
P1
50.1%
45.3%
P2
47.3%
48.5%
P3
50.7%
45.0%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:23 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |