Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.0%). Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Zacha 51.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 50.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 51.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zibanejad
Zacha
Last 7: Zibanejad 2-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Zibanejad
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
53.3% (646)
+0.1%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
53.0% (100)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
38.9% (72)
+5.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
49.0% (429)
51.7% (410)
Away
54.1% (521)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
53.0%
57.7%
P2
51.1%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
50.2%
OT
60.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |