Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Zacha 52.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 72.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Zibanejad
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
54.1% (534)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
56.0% (109)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
44.8% (96)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
55.1% (501)
53.4% (406)
Away
49.2% (555)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
57.5%
56.8%
P2
50.7%
53.6%
P3
47.9%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |