Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Zacha 46.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 83.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 52.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 65.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Zibanejad
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Zibanejad
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Zibanejad
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
45.3% (247)
+4.8%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
58.1% (31)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
22.2% (18)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
49.0% (681)
39.7% (131)
Away
49.9% (717)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
49.9%
42.9%
P2
47.6%
46.4%
P3
51.1%
42.3%
OT
48.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |