Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Zacha 54.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 63.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Zibanejad
Zacha
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Zibanejad
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
Zibanejad
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
53.9% (787)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
63.2% (193)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
44.3% (88)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
51.1% (536)
56.7% (538)
Away
47.6% (576)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
50.1%
52.6%
P2
47.3%
54.8%
P3
50.7%
56.8%
OT
45.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 18:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |