Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 50.8% vs Zacha 44.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 58.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Zibanejad
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Zacha
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Zibanejad
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Zibanejad
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (938)
43.9% (643)
+8.8%
Power Play
49.3% (225)
48.9% (45)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (124)
37.8% (37)
+1.7%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Zibanejad shoots right. Zacha is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Zacha
Home
54.9% (594)
44.6% (397)
Away
47.3% (693)
43.0% (328)
By Period
Zibanejad
Zacha
P1
50.1%
43.5%
P2
49.0%
44.6%
P3
53.0%
43.8%
OT
52.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |