Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Thomas 49.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 59.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Zibanejad
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Zibanejad
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Zibanejad
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
49.0% (910)
+5.0%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
53.5% (142)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
53.3% (75)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Zibanejad shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Thomas
Home
55.2% (656)
47.3% (514)
Away
49.6% (682)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Zibanejad
Thomas
P1
56.3%
50.4%
P2
50.0%
47.5%
P3
51.2%
51.4%
OT
52.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |