Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Thomas 52.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 51.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Zibanejad
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Zibanejad
Thomas
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Zibanejad
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
53.6% (924)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
55.2% (181)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
44.0% (116)
-2.1%
On even strength, Thomas has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Thomas
Home
49.0% (681)
53.6% (606)
Away
49.9% (717)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Zibanejad
Thomas
P1
49.9%
48.2%
P2
47.6%
55.3%
P3
51.1%
55.2%
OT
48.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:38 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |