Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Hartman 48.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Zibanejad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zibanejad
Hartman
Last 6: Zibanejad 2-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Zibanejad
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Zibanejad
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
48.1% (520)
+4.8%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
44.7% (47)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
47.8% (23)
-1.6%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hartman
Home
55.1% (501)
48.3% (360)
Away
49.2% (555)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hartman
P1
57.5%
48.5%
P2
50.7%
45.2%
P3
47.9%
49.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |