Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 60.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Zibanejad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Zibanejad
Hartman
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
5
Zibanejad
Hartman
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
6
5
Zibanejad
Hartman
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Zibanejad
Hartman
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
45.2% (4,235)
+5.7%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
47.4% (443)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
42.4% (262)
-0.9%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hartman
Home
51.6% (7,566)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hartman
P1
50.4%
46.0%
P2
49.7%
42.9%
P3
49.8%
46.8%
OT
48.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |