Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Hartman 45.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 62.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 63.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 64.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Zibanejad
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Zibanejad
Hartman
Last 10: Zibanejad 3-7 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Zibanejad
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Hartman
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
44.8% (830)
+8.6%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
47.8% (92)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
37.5% (16)
+7.2%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Hartman
Home
49.0% (429)
45.0% (515)
Away
54.1% (521)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Zibanejad
Hartman
P1
53.0%
46.5%
P2
51.1%
39.9%
P3
51.0%
48.6%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |