Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 73.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 51.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 66.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Zibanejad 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
43.0% (349)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
31.8% (88)
+3.2%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.2% (656)
38.5% (231)
Away
49.6% (682)
43.2% (206)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.3%
40.2%
P2
50.0%
36.0%
P3
51.2%
45.1%
OT
52.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |