Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Zibanejad 3-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (591)
47.6% (189)
+6.2%
Power Play
47.4% (38)
100.0% (2)
-52.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (117)
29.4% (17)
+14.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.2% (307)
48.5% (132)
Away
54.4% (439)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.0%
51.4%
P2
51.0%
41.3%
P3
50.6%
48.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |