Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 57.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Zibanejad 3-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
47.6% (231)
+5.8%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
83.3% (12)
-37.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
33.3% (21)
+11.4%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.0% (429)
51.2% (164)
Away
54.1% (521)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.0%
50.0%
P2
51.1%
46.2%
P3
51.0%
49.5%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |