Mika Zibanejad vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
50.3% (479)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
50.0% (28)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
30.0% (50)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.1% (501)
48.9% (270)
Away
49.2% (555)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.5%
48.7%
P2
50.7%
50.0%
P3
47.9%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |