Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Zibanejad wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 93.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 92.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 88.9%
11.1%
88.9%
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Last 10: Zibanejad 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
9
0
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (767)
57.9% (1,179)
-5.1%
Power Play
62.6% (107)
63.0% (292)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
28.9% (76)
53.8% (320)
-24.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zibanejad is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Zibanejad shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Home
51.0% (500)
61.3% (884)
Away
53.1% (450)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
P1
54.2%
55.5%
P2
53.6%
61.0%
P3
49.0%
56.8%
OT
37.5%
67.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 00:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |