Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 67.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Last 10: Zibanejad 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
56.1% (690)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
64.6% (96)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
45.9% (109)
-4.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
Home
49.0% (681)
58.3% (408)
Away
49.9% (717)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Zibanejad
O'Reilly
P1
49.9%
57.7%
P2
47.6%
54.8%
P3
51.1%
55.2%
OT
48.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 17:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |