Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 66.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Last 7: Zibanejad 4-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Zibanejad
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
1
Zibanejad
Reinhart
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
49.4% (259)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
54.4% (136)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
47.9% (71)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Home
49.0% (681)
54.9% (235)
Away
49.9% (717)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Zibanejad
Reinhart
P1
49.9%
52.3%
P2
47.6%
50.0%
P3
51.1%
50.0%
OT
48.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |