Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 54.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 60.9%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 50.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Zibanejad
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
39.0% (77)
+14.4%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
35.4% (48)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
40.9% (22)
+3.8%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Zibanejad shoots right. Reinhart is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Home
49.0% (429)
35.7% (84)
Away
54.1% (521)
41.3% (63)
By Period
Zibanejad
Reinhart
P1
53.0%
42.6%
P2
51.1%
34.7%
P3
51.0%
37.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |