Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 56.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 60.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 60.8%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Last 5: Zibanejad 2-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
3
Zibanejad
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
44.1% (324)
+8.8%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
40.3% (72)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
33.9% (118)
+12.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Zibanejad shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Reinhart
Home
55.1% (501)
40.5% (232)
Away
49.2% (555)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Zibanejad
Reinhart
P1
57.5%
46.4%
P2
50.7%
32.6%
P3
47.9%
45.4%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |