Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.7% vs Steel 50.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 63.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 61.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Zibanejad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (591)
51.3% (195)
+2.5%
Power Play
47.4% (38)
71.4% (7)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (117)
43.2% (37)
+0.4%
On power play, Steel has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Zibanejad shoots right. Steel is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Steel
Home
48.2% (307)
50.0% (100)
Away
54.4% (439)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Zibanejad
Steel
P1
54.0%
49.4%
P2
51.0%
48.1%
P3
50.6%
55.9%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |