Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Steel 50.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 56.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 64.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 65.0%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Zibanejad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
52.5% (200)
+0.9%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
71.4% (7)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
40.0% (45)
+4.7%
On power play, Steel has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Steel
Home
49.0% (429)
49.5% (109)
Away
54.1% (521)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Zibanejad
Steel
P1
53.0%
49.5%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
56.6%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |