Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.7%). Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Steel 48.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 66.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 66.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 56.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Zibanejad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Zibanejad
Steel
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
5
Zibanejad
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zibanejad
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
49.5% (553)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
61.3% (31)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
30.6% (49)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Zibanejad shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Steel
Home
49.0% (681)
46.4% (347)
Away
49.9% (717)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Zibanejad
Steel
P1
49.9%
52.1%
P2
47.6%
49.8%
P3
51.1%
45.2%
OT
48.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |