Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Steel 52.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 57.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 53.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Zibanejad
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zibanejad
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
56.9% (320)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
71.4% (7)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (143)
37.0% (73)
+9.2%
On power play, Steel has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Steel
Home
55.1% (501)
55.9% (202)
Away
49.2% (555)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Zibanejad
Steel
P1
57.5%
55.5%
P2
50.7%
55.1%
P3
47.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |