Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.8%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.2% vs Kuraly 49.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 64.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Last 7: Zibanejad 2-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Zibanejad
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (809)
52.4% (416)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.4% (204)
57.1% (7)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (191)
32.0% (97)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kuraly is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (588)
52.1% (259)
Away
48.5% (616)
45.4% (262)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kuraly
P1
47.4%
46.8%
P2
50.7%
52.4%
P3
49.0%
47.2%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |