Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 71.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 50.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
0
Zibanejad
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
51.8% (444)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
45.3% (150)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Home
49.0% (429)
54.6% (304)
Away
54.1% (521)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kuraly
P1
53.0%
55.2%
P2
51.1%
45.7%
P3
51.0%
49.5%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |