Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Last 10: Zibanejad 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Zibanejad
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Zibanejad
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
8
0
Zibanejad
Kuraly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
52.3% (982)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
41.9% (43)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
39.2% (245)
-4.2%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Home
55.2% (656)
50.3% (680)
Away
49.6% (682)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kuraly
P1
56.3%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
49.6%
P3
51.2%
49.0%
OT
52.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |