Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.3%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 37-28 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 77.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
28
(65 meetings)
37
28
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Last 10: Zibanejad 9-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
17
5
Zibanejad
Kuraly
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
22
Zibanejad
Kuraly
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
14
1
Zibanejad
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
51.5% (5,141)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
56.0% (100)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
44.2% (1,086)
-2.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kuraly
Home
51.6% (7,566)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kuraly
P1
50.4%
51.1%
P2
49.7%
49.9%
P3
49.8%
50.0%
OT
48.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |