Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.1%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 68.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Zibanejad
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zibanejad
Monahan
Last 7: Zibanejad 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Zibanejad
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
51.5% (641)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
62.8% (129)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
33.3% (9)
+1.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Monahan
Home
55.2% (656)
53.9% (362)
Away
49.6% (682)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Zibanejad
Monahan
P1
56.3%
48.0%
P2
50.0%
57.0%
P3
51.2%
54.1%
OT
52.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |