Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Monahan 51.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 37-34 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 58.4%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Zibanejad
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
37
(71 meetings)
34
37
Zibanejad
Monahan
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
11
16
Zibanejad
Monahan
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
16
11
Zibanejad
Monahan
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
10
Zibanejad
Monahan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
51.1% (11,356)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
53.7% (2,580)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
46.0% (766)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Monahan
Home
51.6% (7,566)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Zibanejad
Monahan
P1
50.4%
50.9%
P2
49.7%
51.7%
P3
49.8%
51.0%
OT
48.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 04:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |