Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Zibanejad
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Zibanejad
Monahan
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Zibanejad
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Zibanejad
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
53.2% (823)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.2% (39)
55.3% (159)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (141)
48.4% (95)
-3.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Zibanejad shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Monahan
Home
49.0% (429)
54.6% (529)
Away
54.1% (521)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Zibanejad
Monahan
P1
53.0%
49.0%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
51.0%
53.6%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |