Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Zibanejad wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 52.2% vs Nosek 53.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 64.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Zibanejad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Zibanejad
Nosek
Last 10: Zibanejad 1-9 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Zibanejad
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
7
Zibanejad
Nosek
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (955)
55.1% (557)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.6% (243)
50.0% (4)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (140)
47.7% (111)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nosek
Home
55.2% (656)
52.3% (342)
Away
49.6% (682)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nosek
P1
56.3%
49.0%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
51.2%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |