Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Nosek 51.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 57.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Zibanejad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zibanejad
Nosek
Last 7: Zibanejad 5-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
0
Zibanejad
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Zibanejad
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
54.4% (215)
-3.5%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
0.0% (1)
+59.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
23.5% (17)
+14.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nosek is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nosek
Home
51.1% (536)
50.4% (127)
Away
47.6% (576)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nosek
P1
50.1%
51.4%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
50.7%
53.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |