Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 68.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 55.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Zibanejad
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Zibanejad
Nosek
Last 10: Zibanejad 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
2
Zibanejad
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
9
Zibanejad
Nosek
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Zibanejad
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
54.9% (2,674)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
44.7% (47)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
47.4% (424)
-5.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Nosek
Home
51.6% (7,566)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Zibanejad
Nosek
P1
50.4%
52.3%
P2
49.7%
54.0%
P3
49.8%
54.6%
OT
48.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |