Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.3% vs Novak 43.5% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 70.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 65.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Zibanejad
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (913)
40.7% (460)
+10.2%
Power Play
59.0% (39)
61.5% (39)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (160)
0.0% (1)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Zibanejad shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Novak
Home
51.1% (536)
47.0% (236)
Away
47.6% (576)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Zibanejad
Novak
P1
50.1%
43.1%
P2
47.3%
43.1%
P3
50.7%
40.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%