Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 51.8% vs Novak 45.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 80.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 70.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Zibanejad
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zibanejad
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (870)
42.9% (198)
+10.0%
Power Play
53.5% (43)
40.9% (22)
+12.6%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Zibanejad shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Novak
Home
55.1% (501)
40.9% (110)
Away
49.2% (555)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Zibanejad
Novak
P1
57.5%
39.1%
P2
50.7%
43.9%
P3
47.9%
44.9%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |