Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Novak 43.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 50.1%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 80.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 70.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Zibanejad
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Zibanejad
Novak
Last 10: Zibanejad 5-5 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
3
Zibanejad
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Novak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
1
Zibanejad
Novak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
42.1% (1,539)
+8.8%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
51.9% (133)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
50.0% (2)
-8.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Zibanejad shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Novak
Home
51.6% (7,566)
45.3% (814)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Zibanejad
Novak
P1
50.4%
43.9%
P2
49.7%
42.8%
P3
49.8%
41.7%
OT
48.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 09:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |